Articles | Volume 5, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-5-253-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-5-253-2016
Research article
 | 
28 Jun 2016
Research article |  | 28 Jun 2016

Forecasting auroras from regional and global magnetic field measurements

Kirsti Kauristie, Minna Myllys, Noora Partamies, Ari Viljanen, Pyry Peitso, Liisa Juusola, Shabana Ahmadzai, Vikramjit Singh, Ralf Keil, Unai Martinez, Alexej Luginin, Alexi Glover, Vicente Navarro, and Tero Raita

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Cited articles

Amm, O., Donovan, E. F., Frey, H., Lester, M., Nakamura, R., Wild, J. A., Aikio, A., Dunlop, M., Kauristie, K., Marchaudon, A., McCrea, I. W., Opgenoorth, H.-J., and Strømme, A.: Coordinated studies of the geospace environment using Cluster, satellite and ground-based data: an interim review, Ann. Geophys., 23, 2129–2170, https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-23-2129-2005, 2005.
Bala, R. and Reiff, P.: Validating the Rice neural network and the Wing Kp real-time models, Space Weather, 12, 417–425, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014SW001075, 2014.
Bartels, J., Heck, N. H., and Johnston, H. F.: The three-hour range index measuring geomagnetic activity, J. Geophys. Res., 44, 411–454, https://doi.org/10.1029/TE044i004p00411, 1939.
Finnish Meteorological Institute and University of Oulu: The AurorasNow! Service, Sodankylä Geophysical Observatory, http://aurora.fmi.fi, last access: June 2016a.
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Short summary
We use the connection between auroras and geomagnetic field variations in a concept for a Regional Auroral Forecast (RAF) service. RAF is based on statistical relationships between alerts by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center and magnetic time derivatives measured by five MIRACLE magnetometer stations located in the surroundings of the Sodankylä research station. As an improvement to previous similar services RAF yields knowledge on typical auroral storm durations at different latitudes.